WARZONE INTEL Forecast · 23 Sep 2026
Last War / Transfer intelligence

Transfer
Outlook.

A server-by-server forecast for warzones 1605–1636 and 1637–1668. Compare opening states, tier allocations, estimated Warzone Points, and growth room.

01 / THE FIELD

Two windows, two scoring cohorts

Each 32-server window is scored against its full 64-server transfer cohort. The bars show projected categories for the requested windows only.

Seat allocation ≠ open vacancies. Counts below describe the category's allowed intake if the historical seat rules repeat. The workbook does not show how many seats have already been claimed. Fully Open uses a shared Transfer Point budget for Follower, Trailblazer, and Contributor; there is no fixed seat count for those tiers.
02 / SERVER RANKINGS

Find your warzone

Rank #1 is strongest within its 64-server cohort. Points and growth room are estimates on the July scale; confidence is an indicative model measure.

64 serversTap a server number for its full signal profile
Rank / 64ServerProjected stateConfidenceFollowerTrailblazerContributorLWSProj. points*Growth room*Historical state
* Estimated on July's Warzone Points scale. Growth room is the modeled percent rise in points before the next historical category cutoff, assuming peers and cutoffs stay fixed; it is not an allowed percent rise in player power. † The historical point-estimation error exceeds the modeled gap to that cutoff. “Shared” means no fixed tier quota.
03 / HOW TO READ THIS

The forecast method

One transparent ranking model, with the assumptions and failure modes shown alongside its output.

01 / COHORT

Compare like with like

Servers 1605–1636 are ranked inside 1573–1636. Servers 1637–1668 are ranked inside 1637–1700. Historical labels show an approximately 25% Fully / 50% Semi / 25% Limited split in each cohort.

02 / PLAYER SIGNAL

Blend top-player strength

Average hero power of each server's top 10 and top 50 tracked players is ranked within the cohort. The two percentile ranks receive equal weight. LWS remains as a separate reference.

03 / POINTS & ROOM

Map ranks to July points

Historical points at comparable ranks give a numeric estimate. Growth room compares it with July's next category cutoff. Both are sensitive to a changing transfer group and the game's unpublished scoring formula.

Model audit and limitations
Seat rules used in this outlook

These allocations come from the supplied workbook and should be checked against the live transfer screen before making a decision.

Projected stateFollowerTrailblazerContributorElite
Fully OpenShared poolShared poolShared pool2
Semi-Open604051
Limited Open403030

Historical Fully Open point budgets in these cohorts were 29.7M and 23.3M respectively. They are not a forecast of the next budget.

Sources and definitions
  • Supplied Excel workbook: Warzone Scoring (historical class, points, thresholds, and seats) and Server Strength (alliance strength).
  • LWServers rankings snapshot and player snapshots, 23 September 2026, segment 1573–1700.
  • Player impact view shows the strongest tracked players on each requested server and their estimated share of our strength signal.
  • LWServers glossary explains that LWS is its own composite of server strength and depth. It is not the game's Warzone Score.
  • Last War transfer guide describes the in-game relationship between active commander scores, group standards, and opening state.